The Housing Chronicles Blog: The cruelty of lower rates versus tighter lending requirements

Friday, February 8, 2008

The cruelty of lower rates versus tighter lending requirements

Although rates for fixed-rate mortgages have been trending lower lately, apparently that's still not good news for borrowers without great credit, verifiable incomes or sufficient equity in their homes. From a CNNMoney story:

The good news: mortgage rates are down. The bad news: it's much harder to qualify for a refinanced loan these days.

What's more, the borrowers who need to refinance the most - because their adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs) are resetting to higher interest rates - are among those having the most trouble winning approvals...

he make-or-break metric for anyone looking to refinance right now is home equity - the difference between what is owed on a house and what the house is worth. But with home prices down, many homeowners have little of that precious commodity left.

"If you have an 80% loan, with a 10% home equity loan, you may not be able to refinance," said Peter Grabel, a mortgage broker in Connecticut - especially in down markets.

Consider a homeowner who bought in Miami a year ago with 20% down. Home prices have fallen 15% there in the past year, wiping out three-quarters of the equity. Lenders, who want collateral that's worth more than the value of the loan, are wary about having so little cushion. If they have to repossess and resell the house, they're on the hook for a big loss.

"No lender would take that deal," said Marc Savitt, president of the National Association of Mortgage Brokers. "It's a lot different from two years ago."

The bar has also been raised for credit scores when it comes to refinancing, according to Grabel. And sometimes, it's not a matter of whether someone can get refinancing but at what price.

"Those with high credit scores are getting very good rates, but the lenders have heightened the requirements to qualify," said Grabel. Instead of a score of 680 for the best rate, a borrower might need 700 now....

Indeed, appraisals are another tool that lenders are using to eliminate unqualified applicants.

"It used to be a formality," said Grabel. "Now it's, 'Lets do the appraisal first and see what value comes in." Lenders are scrutinizing them to a degree unheard of during the boom. They don't want to lend $160,000 on an appraised value of $200,000 unless they're sure the house is truly worth that.

Ted Grose, a past president of the California Association of Mortgage Brokers, said lenders now often conduct what he called "bench reviews" of appraisals. "They have an experienced, independent third-party go over the appraisal to make sure the numbers are accurate," he said.

Grose called many of the applicants he sees "very challenging, mostly because of high loan-to-value ratios."

Many of these people took exotic loans to get into high-priced properties. They used hybrid ARMs that are resetting to higher rates, or interest only loans.

Particularly deadly are option ARMs, which act as negative amortization loans; the payments don't even cover the interest and the balance grows over time. Combine that with falling home prices, and the loan balance may be more than the home's market value.

Under those circumstances, said Grose, few borrowers can be helped.

There is one bit of good news for homeowners this week: The stimulus bill passed by Congress late Thursday will raise the size of the loans that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac can buy from $417,000 to nearly $730,000 in some high-cost markets.

Lenders are much more willing to make loans that can be sold to these two entities in the secondary market, which will make it easier for some people to refinance. Additionally, these so-called 'conforming' loans have interest rates a percentage point or more lower than 'jumbo' loans.

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