The Housing Chronicles Blog

Thursday, April 30, 2009

Zillow app now available on iPhone

Ever wonder how much easier it would be to have information on homes you're scouring in various neighborhoods or their current 'Zestimate' value? Zillow has launched an app for the iPhone which allows you to do just that (hat tip: Future of Real Estate Marketing blog):

Bank chooses to destroy new homes rather than pay daily fines

What a waste of good materials. Rather than continue to pay daily fines to the City of Victorville for unfinished new homes built by Matthews Homes on which they had foreclosed, Guaranty Bank of Irvine instead hires a company to bulldoze them. And, according to a member of the wrecking crew at the site, they've got another 26 homes in Temecula on their destruction list. Is this really the best way to handle this problem? (Hat tip: Calculated Risk):

Jumbo loans making a comeback

For buyers of homes in high-priced areas or looking to move up to a home that's too high for Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac to buy, there's some good news: jumbo loans are reappearing for terms that are becoming more reasonable. From a BuilderOnline.com story:

Forced to near extinction by shaky credit markets, the jumbo mortgage loan is making a comeback, which is good news for builders who sell high-end homes or build in expensive markets.

Interest rates have improved, and more financial institutions are starting to lend money for home mortgages with price tags too high to be bought by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, said industry watchers...

Bank of America recently announced it was jumping back in the jumbo business. ING has also been offering the loans above the $417,000 conforming limit in most markets and $729,750 in high-cost areas.

Keith Gumbinger, of HSH Associates, a mortgage research firm and publisher, said banks are more willing to lend money for jumbo loans because they have more cash to lend, and there aren’t many other profitable places to put it. Banks have more cash on hand because of TARP money and because the low interest rates have led many home owners to refinance their homes, paying off their old loans in the process....

Still, while rates on jumbo loans have declined significantly from last fall, roughly 160 basis points from 7.90% at Halloween, they still are higher historically compared to conforming home loans. Last year there was roughly a three percentage-point difference and now it’s down to closer to a two-point spread...

Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Phoenix the first market to see 50% declines in home prices

Although the drop in the Case-Shiller index seems to be slowing in some markets, even the lower rate of decline has meant overall drops of well over 30% for most markets which participated in the housing boom and bust. In Phoenix, the total price decline since the crest was reached in 2006 has now passed 50%. From a New York Times story:

Phoenix has achieved the unwelcome distinction of becoming the first major American city where home prices have fallen in half since the market peaked in the middle of the decade, according to data released Tuesday.

Though historical statistics are scant, experts said the precipitous decline probably had few if any equals in modern times...

Home prices in the Sun Belt city, the 12th-largest metropolitan area in the United States, dropped 4.5 percent in February, according to the Standard & Poor’s Case-Shiller Home Price Index. Prices in Phoenix are now down 50.8 percent since the market peaked in June 2006.

For the country as a whole, the Case-Shiller numbers offered the thinnest of silver linings: things are still getting worse, but more slowly.

In February, the price of single-family homes in 20 major metropolitan areas fell 18.6 percent from the year earlier, compared with a record drop of 19 percent in January.

“Finally, we’re seeing a touch of moderation,” said David Blitzer, chairman of S.& P.’s index committee. “This is the kind of thing one might see if we’re beginning to see a bottom. I would not run out and celebrate, but I would not dig the bunker any deeper.”

Economists said housing prices would probably continue to fall as Americans, worried about rising unemployment and the recession, put off big financial decisions like buying a home.

Some economists expect housing prices to fall another 5 to 10 percent before they hit a bottom; others say that prices could decline by as much as a third. According to the National Association of Realtors, the median price of a home in the United States, which peaked above $230,000 in 2006, has fallen to $175,200.

As prices have dropped, frozen housing markets in hard-hit areas like Southern California, Phoenix, Las Vegas and South Florida have begun to thaw. Record-low mortgage rates and huge inventories of foreclosed homes and other fire-sale properties have enticed first-time buyers to the market and lured others who had been sitting on the sidelines.

Home sales in Southern California and the San Francisco Bay area, where foreclosures dominate many markets, have snapped back this spring as prices dropped. But sales have slowed to a crawl in other markets like New York City, where prices declined 10 percent from a year ago...

And over at the Calculated Risk blog, there's a handy chart comparing the major metro areas studied by Case-Shiller, which you can find here.

Obama Administration extends housing aid to second mortgages

Since one of the major issues blocking loan modifications has been the fact that under-water homeowners have both first and second (or piggyback) loans on their properties, the Obama Administration is expanding its incentive program to second mortgages. From an L.A. Times story:

The Obama administration, stepping up efforts to stem foreclosures, will offer lenders and homeowners incentives to cut payments on second mortgages, write down balances on first mortgages that are underwater, and repay loans in a timely fashion.

The new measures announced Tuesday would especially help many distressed homeowners who have both first and second mortgages -- and can't afford either. The Treasury Department now wants lenders and their customer-service agents to agree to modify both loans as part of a comprehensive solution...

The program would slash second-mortgage interest rates to as low as 1% for five years for some borrowers. It also seeks to revive a Federal Housing Administration effort to persuade lenders to cut loan balances enough so that borrowers again have equity in their homes.

Money for the plan would come from a previously authorized $50-billion allocation from the $700-billion Treasury Department bailout fund that Congress established last year. The $50 billion already has been used to create incentives for modifying first mortgages...

The future of new housing is green

When green building terms and techniques first entered the construction industry’s policies and procedures manuals, they were initially designed for new commercial office buildings, allowing developers and cities to advertise their forward-thinking designs with iconic structures in well-trafficked locations.

Today, however, with increasing consumer sensitivity towards sustainability and a higher awareness among home builders that energy-efficient homes can boost both absorption rates and profits, building green homes will likely become the most important trend this industry has seen in a generation.

The market could be huge: according to a McGraw-Hill Construction Residential Building SmartMarket Report from 2006, green homes could make up as much as 10% of new construction by 2010 – a quintupling from a comparatively measly 2% in 2005. Seeking to retain its leadership in a quickly changing world, the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) recently announced that more than 2,700 builders, remodelers have achieved the Certified Green Building (GCB) designation, which requires 24 hours of classroom instruction, two years of industry experience, commitment to continuing education and adhering to the CGB code of ethics.

Not to be outdone, the U.S. Green Building Council’s now-ubiquitous LEED certification (Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design) -- which began for commercial structures in 2000 -- naturally led to “LEED for Homes” in late 2007 following a two-year pilot program. The national certification program, which awards points for various categories and ranges from simple certification (45-59 points out of 136) to Platinum (90-136 points), has quickly become a powerful marketing strategy that now mirrors the EnergyStar® label for appliances.

Since applying for the LEED Platinium status is so rigorous, most green builders today are opting for the more permissive Silver label, but in all cases applicants are judged in eight primary categories: Innovation and Design, Location & Linkages (site placement), Sustainable Sites (using the entire property responsibly), Water Efficiency, Energy & Atmosphere (especially heating and cooling design), Materials and Resources (minimizing waste, using local supplies when possible and selecting environmentally friendly materials), Indoor Environmental Quality, and Awareness & Education (to the homeowner, tenant, or building manager).

In many cases, green building techniques simply involve some common sense and creativity, such as including larger, south-facing windows for more natural light (and free solar heating), installing second-generation low-flush toilets, using factory-built components such as roof trusses and pre-hung doors whenever possible, and adding covered entries over exterior doors to prevent water intrusion. In other cases, such as re-introducing drought-tolerant landscaping in arid climates, preserving trees on building sites and striving to cut down on the two tons of waste that the average new home throws into landfills, some builders will lead while others will choose to follow – if at all.

But for those who do lead, the benefits are hard to ignore. In the master-planned Whitney Ranch community of Rocklin, California, in January of 2007 local builder Grupe Company created Carsten Crossings, the country’s first all LEED-certified new home community. Ranging in size from 2168 to 2755 square feet, not only did the builder’s plans out-sell its competition by a factor of 2:1, but found that having a third-party reviewer as judge and jury dramatically reduced customer calls and complaints.

At the same time, Grupe managed to divert 75% of its waste from concrete, drywall and wood from the local dump, squeeze out energy efficiency ratings 35% higher than what California’s tough laws require and installed on-site solar arrays that can reduce electricity bills by up to 70%. Not bad for construction costs of $70 per square foot!

In San Jose, First Community Housing was so good at proving that green building techniques could also be applied to multi-family affordable units, in January of 2008 it won California’s first LEED Gold certification for its 35-unit Gish Apartments project. Although the green features increased building costs by 1-2% to $145 per square foot, various sources of funding helped pay for the extras, and a grant from the city chipped in for the rooftop photovoltaic array.

But let’s also not forget some extra bonuses. Firstly, homes offering the latest technologies in energy efficiency and sustainable components will, by definition, no longer have to compete with similar designs built by the same builders in the recent past. Secondly – and perhaps more importantly -- builders who’ve long been chastised for contributing to insensitive urban sprawl can now actually lead (if they so choose) the way for a sustainable planet.

Monday, April 27, 2009

Some new home builders starting up as market is down

One of the interesting parts of a down cycle in the housing industry is when the former executives of larger public home builders decide to leverage their contacts and experience and start up their own companies. I think this provides several benefits to potential home buyers, including a greater variety of designs and floor plans, seasoned executives overseeing the process and more competition in the marketplace. From a BuilderOnline.com story:

“We feel like the timing is pretty darned good,” said Jay Lewis of Surrey Homes, who is building the business with the backing of investors. “I believe that existing-home prices aren’t going to get any lower.”...

In this market, being private, as long as your debt level and other costs are low, is a distinct advantage. He can have the nimbleness and depth of market knowledge of a small, private company yet still capitalize on big-builder buying power because trades and other suppliers, desperate for business, are willing to sell him goods and services at the same rates they charge production builders in return for fair margins. Lot developers, too, are offering options on softer, more reasonable terms...

He said his company’s hurdle rate is low enough for him to sell homes at those prices with some upgrades standard, such as solid-surface countertops, tile, and Energy Star appliances.

He plans to also differentiate his homes by including a longer-term warranty and maintenance plan. Under the maintenance plan the company will schedule routine visits to the houses for warranty plus three more years to caulk cracks in stucco and perform other preventative maintenance.

Lewis admits it’s a risk to start a new building business now, but it’s mitigated by strong partners and no debt, he said. Homes will be built with cash on hand, rather than by borrowing...

Click here for full story.

April column for Builder & Developer magazine now online

My latest column for Builder & Developer magazine is now online, and focuses on staffing up for the eventual housing rebound. For now, an excerpt:

...sometime over the next 18 months, builders and developers will again be staffing up to fill various positions, and yet on social networking sites such as LinkedIn, I see people with 15 to 20 years of doing the exact same thing with different companies. Perhaps they’re good at some specific task, but for the next stage of real estate development, I think hiring people with multiple skill sets will ultimately separate the winners from the laggards.

Being brave enough to try out new things -- whether it’s striking out on your own or switching to an entirely new department – also shows the type of leadership qualities which help mold future executives. In many cases, those hints of future brilliance often occur in places far outside of the building industry, such as volunteering for a local political race, coaching a soccer team or organizing a church event, all of which reveal skills essential for any workplace...

Saturday, April 25, 2009

HELOC abuse in Hancock Park

For the past couple of months, the Irvine Housing Blog has been noting posts of interest from The Housing Chronicles for a regular weekend thread. This weekend, however, blogger Larry Roberts is dissecting the HELOC abuse for a luxury home in one of L.A.'s most desirable neighborhoods (at least where I'd live if I had the money), Hancock Park. It's a very interesting read:

On Thursday in the astute observations, someone known as “E” asked about the largest HELOC abuse case we had profiled so far. We have profiled a couple for around $1,000,000 (The Ultimate Post, Responsible Homeowners are NOT Losing Their Homes), but Irvine is not old enough or valuable enough to have truly spectacular HELOC abuse cases. In a series of emails and a long phone call, “E” told me about a property in Hollywood that makes the pretenders in Irvine look like the wannabes they really are.

The way “E” described this neighborhood, it is the home of many of the truly rich, the famous, and the “Joneses” that want to be. Many in Irvine are trying to keep up with the Joneses; the Joneses live in Hollywood, and they are trying to keep up with the rich and famous who live here. Today’s featured property belongs to the Joneses (not their real name).

The interesting part of the keeping-up-with-the-Joneses phenomenon is that the people at the top of the heap often do not care about impressing anyone or making the Joneses jealous. Many at the top are just living their lives and trying to keep a low profile. When you really are rich, you don’t care if anyone knows about it.

So how do the Joneses really live? Well, if you are near the top rung of the ladder, you own a house in the best neighborhood, you milk that house for every penny it appreciates, throw opulent parties, and try to make everyone on the next rung down the ladder jealous. It goes something like this:

  • This property was purchased in the early 70s for around $150,000. My data does not go back that far, but the total assessed value is $346,592 which would account for the original valuation and the proposition 13 adjustments since it was passed.
  • I do not know what the original mortgage was, but for the sake of calculating MEW, lets assume it was $120,000 which is 80% of $150,000.
  • My records pick up in 1998. On 10/23/1998, there was a new first mortgage for $250,000. This point also marks when the property went from being owned by a couple to being owned by just a woman.
  • On 2/9/1999 the owner refinanced a $400,000 first mortgage.
  • On 7/2/1999 she opened a HELOC for $150,000.
  • On 3/31/2000 she opened a HELOC for $759,000.
  • On 2/16/2001 she opened a HELOC for $609,300.
  • On 3/1/2004 she opened a HELOC for $1,200,000.
  • On 10/2/2006 she refinanced with a $2,700,000 Option ARM with a 1.5% teaser rate.
  • On 10/2/2006 she opened a HELOC for $200,000.
  • On 3/12/2007 she opened a HELOC for $787,500.
  • Total property debt is $3,487,500. (which explains the current asking price).
  • Total mortgage equity withdrawal is $3,367,500.

I am speechless…

Click here for entire post.

Friday, April 24, 2009

California's $10,000 tax credit helping new home builders

You've got to chalk one up for the California Building Industry Association's lobbying arm, since they definitely had a hand in crafting the $10,000 tax credit for buyers of new homes in the state. In fact, the program has been so successful that the development community has suggested lifting the $100 million cap on the tax credit program.

Yet others argue that since foreclosures are a much bigger problem in the state, creating an artificial stimulus for new home sales only prolongs the inventory correction.

I would argue that the issue is a bit more complex than that, and if we can devise a plan to help some builders limp along with a core operation until the market rebounds while also focusing even more on getting rid of existing home inventory (mostly foreclosures), then that's perhaps the optimal solution.

From a Wall Street Journal story:

California's hard-hit home builders say they're pouring more foundations and hiring more workers this spring, partly because of a state tax credit of as much as $10,000 for buyers of new homes.

Nationally, the Commerce Department said Friday that new-home sales fell 0.6% to an annual rate of 356,000 units in March, a sign the free fall in new-home sales may be over. In the West, home-builder sales rose 15%, likely reflecting a boost from California's new-home credit.

Now, less than two months after the new-home credit became available, some lawmakers in California's financially strapped government are proposing to eliminate the $100 million limit on the total amount of credits that home buyers can tap...

Despite the industry's enthusiasm, some economists say the credit is doing little to fix what truly ails California -- one of the nation's largest residential markets -- because it doesn't encourage the sale of foreclosed houses that are weighing on prices. Economists warn that if the tax credit is expanded too much, it could exacerbate the housing glut here...

Other states are considering their own subsidies to supplement the recently enacted $8,000 federal credit for certain first-time buyers of existing or new homes. But California has one of the most robust tax credits targeting new-home purchases...

The Californian Building Industry Association, which led the lobbying effort for the credit, estimates that each new-home sale generates $16,000 in tax revenue from construction workers' income, as well as from sales taxes paid on appliances and furnishings, among other home-related items...

About one-third of the $100 million tax credit allocation has been already claimed, according to the state Franchise Tax Board, which administers the program. At this rate, lawmakers expect the pool could be gone by early summer, well before the program is scheduled to end in February 2010.

For home buyers, the credits mean big savings, as home prices keep falling and mortgage rates are near historic lows. Certain first-time home buyers in California can qualify for a combined $18,000 in state and federal credits on new homes, which had a median price of $339,990 in February.

Will we be seeing more consolidation of homebuilders?

When the news of the Pulte-Centex merger broke recently, it was a surprise for most of us (still) eeking out a living in the building industry mostly because it occurred so early in this part of the cycle, but for me it also brought up two big questions: (a) would this put more pressure on other public builders to merge; and (b) what, exactly, was Pulte getting for its investment? Will this simply mean even more lookalike homes in major markets? A story in Fortune magazine ponders these same questions:

Large, well-capitalized homebuilders with low debt, such as D.R. Horton Inc., (DHI, Fortune 500) KB Home (KBH), and Pulte (PHM, Fortune 500) - as well as cash-flush private equity firms - will likely be shopping around, while highly leveraged builders with significant chunks of debt coming due in the next three years are likely targets, industry experts say.

Like companies in just about every other industry, homebuilders are having a tough time refinancing in the frozen credit markets. As a result, distressed builders, unable to meet debt calls, could be forced to sell assets or the entire company at bargain-basement prices.

Builders with debt-to-market cap ratios above 75% include Beazer Homes USA Inc. (BZH), Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (HOV), and Standard Pacific Corp. (SPF), according to Bob Curran, managing director at Fitch Ratings. Their high debt makes them vulnerable to takeouts if the credit markets don't improve in the next two years, experts say...

KB Home could fit well with Ryland Group Inc. (RYL) which shares a similar market cap and business strategy, says UBS analyst David Goldberg. But, he notes, "Who knows if KB wants to be acquisitive?"...

Most industry experts believe consolidation will accelerate, but many wonder if Pulte might have jumped in prematurely and overpaid for Centex (CTX, Fortune 500).

"We have always felt that there would be additional consolidation in the industry - just not right yet," said Joe Snider, vice president and senior credit officer at Moody's Investors Service in New York. "We're in the middle - we're not at the end yet - of a very deep and long-lasting downturn."

Based on Pulte's closing price on April 7 just before the deal was unveiled, the transaction valued Centex at $10.50 a share, which represented a 38% premium to its closing price of $7.62.

"My gut would tell me that what Pulte paid was a little bit high," says Goldberg. If the market rebounds and prices go up, "Pulte will look like geniuses for buying a big land position at the bottom of the market," he says. But if the market tanks for two or three more years, he believes the merger will be viewed as ill-timed...

Analysts expect a number of distressed builders to exit the market through bankruptcy filings, mergers or fire-sales in the next year or two.

So far, about 17 of the country's top 100 homebuilders - including three publicly-traded builders - Levitt & Sons LLC, WCI Communities Inc., and Tousa Inc. - have filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection over the past two years, says Reichardt. More recently, Comstock Homebuilding Cos. Inc. indicated it may seek bankruptcy protection

Publicly-traded builders, in general, are better capitalized than their rivals in the private sector. Many learned tough lessons from the crippling downturn almost 20 years ago where high debt and inventory levels pushed a flurry of builders into bankruptcy...

Still, many companies are at risk. "Some of the weaker public builders have already gone, and there may be more to go," says Kim. And that's where the well-capitalized players can step in, but they may be best suited to hold off a while longer...

New home sales in 2008 hit record low

By now it shouldn't come as any surprise that new home sales in 2008 fell to a record low of 331,000 annualized sales by December. Yet because the sales are so low, it would still take nearly 13 months to burn off the existing inventory (although some economists would argue that the time line for market equilibrium of new versus existing homes aren't the same because it takes much longer for home builders to create the product to sell). From a Washington Post story:

Builders cut production and prices but are competing against a backlog of foreclosed properties that are selling at significant discounts, economists said. Until more buyers venture back into the market, prices will continue to fall and sales will remain slow, they said.

In December, new-home sales tumbled 15 percent compared with November, to an annualized rate of 331,000 sales, and were down 44.8 percent compared with December 2007, according to the Commerce Department. For all of 2008, builders unloaded 482,000 new single-family houses, down 37.8 percent from 2007. That is the biggest year-over-year sales decline on records that go back to 1963...

Meanwhile, prices have tumbled to 2004 levels. The nationwide median sales price fell 9.3 percent, to $206,500, in December from $227,700 a year earlier, the biggest drop since 1970. For the year, prices fell about 7 percent, to $230,600, from $247,900 in 2007.

Despite industry efforts to cut supply and prices, there are still far more homes than buyers. It would take 12.9 months to sell all the homes on the market at the current rate, according to the Commerce Department. That is the worst sales rate on record...

The current number of homes for sale might have been acceptable two or three years ago, but the sales rate was much faster then, economists said. While new homes await buyers, existing homes in pockets of the country are being snapped up by bargain hunters, according to industry data released earlier this week. But that market is being fueled by foreclosed homes and distressed sellers that have dragged down prices...

Have new home sales hit bottom?

Have new home sales in the U.S. finally hit bottom? It's certainly a question on the minds of many in the building industry, and there's certainly no shortage of funds remaining on the sidelines waiting to pounce on the right opportunities. From an AP story via Yahoo! Finance:

After a staggering 74 percent decline from the peak in July 2005, new U.S. home sales appear to be bottoming out.

The pace of home sales, which hit a record-low in January, jumped in February and was flat in March, the Commerce Department said Friday. At the same time, the inventory of new homes for sale dropped a badly needed 5 percent from February levels....

Sales varied dramatically around the country. The best performance was in the West, where sales rose more than 15 percent from February. The worst turnout was in the Northeast, where sales sank more than 32 percent. They were unchanged in the South, and down nearly 8 percent in the Midwest.

Since the data measures signed contracts to buy new homes rather than completed sales, they probably got a boost from the new $8,000 tax credit for first-time buyers passed in mid-February. In addition, California offers a $10,000 state tax credit for buyers of new homes, and that's likely boosting sales in that state.

An index of builders' confidence released earlier this month posted its biggest one-month jump in five years as many homebuyers seized on lower prices and incentives and took advantage of lower interest rates and tax credits...

Book review of "After The Fall" published at Inman News



My review of the book "After the Fall: Opportunities and Strategies for Real Estate Investing in the Coming Decade" by Steve Bergsman is now online at Inman News. As an adjunct to this review, I also interviewed Bergsman for my new Housing Chronicles show on BlogTalkRadio, which you can listen to by clicking here or listening to it on the widget below:



From the review:

With the housing market still in tatters but showing some signs of life and the commercial markets starting their own freefall, many investors continue to consider real estate one of the last places to put their dollars to work.

In his new book, "After the Fall: Opportunities and Strategies for Real Estate Investing in the Coming Decade," veteran real estate and travel writer Steve Bergsman argues that now is precisely the time to start considering what types of real estate sectors -- whether residential, commercial or leisure -- should be on your shopping list, both today and in the future...

For each chapter, the author takes us through a brief business journey beginning with an overview, followed by "Where We Are Today," "Where We Were," "Where We Are Headed" and "Fundamentals."

Readers can easily thumb through to whichever chapters they deem most relevant for analysis on the past, present and future for their sectors of interest. In addition, a "Bonus Box" at the end of each chapter focuses on a recent trend for a particular land use sector, such as "The Office Condominium," "Flex Space" (for industrial uses) or "Locations for Knowledge Workers" (for retail uses).

In the case of the commercial real estate markets, Bergsman paints a future portrait of haves and have-nots, in which the largest investors will favor larger urban, international centers such as New York, Washington, D.C., or Los Angeles, while largely ignoring tertiary, largely domestic markets such as St. Louis or Minneapolis.

By 2012, however, the author thinks it will actually be the sleepy, stable apartment market that will be one of the best places for institutional dollars, having likely rebounded from several years of weakness in that sector's underlying fundamentals and a dearth of new construction...

One sub-sector expected to resist the outgoing tide is senior housing, which already went through its own boom-and-bust cycle earlier in the decade and, by 2010, will enjoy a strong surge of favorable demographics as boomers begin to retire in larger numbers.

Looking ahead, two residential sectors Bergsman expects to underperform the market include: condominiums (especially those in popular vacation areas such as Las Vegas or South Florida) and, at least until the next decade, second homes.

However, due to future demographic trends pointing to an aging population, smaller families and a growing preference for returning to the city centers, condos located in urban areas that haven't been overbuilt could return to health as early as 2010, he said...

Finally, although most real estate sectors are expected to return to basic fundamentals for most of the 2010-20 years, one heralded star of the housing boom -- the exurban McMansion built on the far fringes of metropolitan centers -- could likely become its most visible victims of the bust.

Featuring large lots at the expense of a long commute and few public transit options, some industry observers think such single-family homes will eventually be subdivided and become housing for the poor -- which, ironically, is exactly what happened to buildings in various downtown areas as a car-crazy populace moved out to new suburbs during the mid-20th century (see Inman News report on urban, suburban and rural growth and planning trends in the aftermath of the housing boom).

Of the 57 million existing single-family homes on large lots, nearly 40 percent, or 22 million, could have considerable trouble finding buyers in the years ahead as larger economic, political and cultural forces change the way Americans live and view residential real estate as an investment class...

Click here for entire review.

Wednesday, April 22, 2009

L.A. Times reporter Annette Haddad loses battle with cancer

I got some news today that I'd been dreading for months, which is that Annette Haddad, a veteran reporter for the L.A. Times who started covering residential real estate just as I started talking more to the press when I worked with MarketPointe Realty Advisors and then Hanley Wood Market Intelligence, had lost her battle with cancer.

What I always liked about Annette was that she was fair, and more than willing to change her mind about something if presented with the right back-up material. She and I were also about the same age, and over time we developed a solid friendship in which I would explain to her how new home builders functioned, and she would coach me on how to provide better, pithier quotes for stories.

She was also very open to story pitches, and when I told her about the first new-home auction I'd seen since the early 1990s, a story on that subject appeared soon thereafter. It's largely because of her advice that I learned "PR 101." When she was named Web Deputy, we'd meet and discuss ways to keep the Times' offerings on real estate data relevant in the online era, but of course when she got sick those ideas were all put on hold.

But my best memory of Annette was when I had a meeting at the Times and we met for lunch in the paper's cafeteria on the first floor: greeting me into the foyer of the original Times building built in 1935, she took me on a personal tour of the building and introduced me to many of the names behind the bylines. It's a tour I'll never forget.

Annette was also a fierce protector of the Times' objectivity. Last year, when I was writing a freelance story for the paper's late real estate section on builder incentives, it was Annette who raised a red flag to the section editor because she was concerned about any appearance of a conflict of interest. Once it was cleared that neither builder noted in the story was a client of mine, the story ran, but it also forced me to institute a new rule that I can't be considered a consultant to the building industry while also writing about them as a freelance reporter. Consequently, I now only write columns, blog posts and book reviews.

When I talked to her later about the issue, however, she was mostly concerned about our friendship, saying, "I really like you, but I had real concerns about this story and thought you'd be upset if I killed it." Frankly, that commitment to the Times made me like and respect her even more, and when she came back for a short time and was elevated to also help oversee the online Business section, I knew it was a great choice.

I suppose I should take some solace that she died on Earth Day, but at this point it just seems so unfair, since she had so much left to give to the Times and to those who knew her. I miss her already.

From an L.A. Times story
:

Although she had spent much of her career at The Times as an editor, she embraced the idea of covering real estate when offered the chance in 2004.

During her time on the beat, she had 17 Page 1 stories on a variety of aspects of the market, including a sharp Column One feature that provided an early look at the impending foreclosure crisis...

In reporting on residential real estate, she focused her coverage from a financial perspective looking at market trends, housing economics and home-building companies.

She loved her assignment, her husband said.

"After a long week of work, she thought nothing of spending her weekend covering open houses and loved talking to actual buyers," Doggett said.

After her diagnosis in 2007, she underwent surgeries and chemotherapy before returning to work coordinating Business coverage on the paper's website. But a return of the cancer a few months later forced her to quit...

In lieu of flowers, donations may be made to The Humane Society of the United States.