First-time home buyers, shut out of the market when prices skyrocketed in the first half of this decade, are becoming the dominant force in an otherwise battered market.
The trend -- which has yet to show up in statistics -- represents a ray of hope to an industry hard hit by a subprime mortgage crisis that has lenders nationally writing off billions in losses and many central San Joaquin Valley neighborhoods dotted with empty houses.
Experts say falling prices and interest rates and an abundant supply are enticing would-be first-time home buyers off the sidelines.
Those who can meet higher lending standards are in a good position to benefit from the housing bust...
About 3,900 houses are available for sale in Fresno and Clovis, and, thanks to falling prices, the percentage of families in Fresno County that can afford an entry-priced house has climbed to 44% from 19% at the peak of the housing boom in 2006, according to the California Association of Realtors.
The median price of a house in Fresno County fell 16.7% over the last year, according to Zillow.com, to $226,776...
Real estate agents say investors also are back in the market, looking for houses to rent and, in some cases, flip. "I just sold a beautiful fixer-upper in University Portals for $160,000...
Nationwide, the use of FHA loans is up 40% from last year, with many of those used to refinance adjustable-rate mortgages, said Jerrold Mayer, director of the program support division for the Department of Housing and Urban Development.
"I was doing zero FHA loans three months ago, and now they are 40% of my business," said Chris Wolfe of Wolfe Mortgage Group in Fresno. "It is the last remaining loan if you don't have perfect credit."
While first-time home buyers are jumping into the marketplace, loan officer Michael Gilmore believes many others are waiting for prices to fall even more.
"I'm still of the opinion that incredible pent-up demand is still sitting on the fence waiting for things to bottom out," said Gilmore, who operates The Mortgage Professionals in Fresno.
"Prices have fallen, interest rates have fallen and there is blood in the water," he said. "It could be worse before it gets better, but we're getting near the end of this cycle."
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